---
title: Noah Predict: turn the AI you already use into a superforecaster
description: Noah Predict connects 49 million dated documents and a working forecasting engine to ChatGPT or Claude through MCP. Ask the risk of anything, get a measured probability with the evidence attached, and back-test it against the past. Free to connect.
url: https://noahpredict.com/
source: Noah Predict, Worldwide AI Media Ltd
last_updated: 2026-10-03
licence: CC-BY-4.0-with-attribution-and-no-redistribution
---

# Turn the AI you already use into a superforecaster.

Our data. Our physics. Your AI. Ask the risk of anything, then test the answer against the past.

## The idea

Your AI is brilliant. It is arguing from a thin file. Noah Predict connects 49 million dated documents and a working forecasting engine to the model you use every day. Nothing to learn, nothing to install: connect Noah to ChatGPT or Claude and ask the questions you already ask, with evidence and a measured probability behind every answer.

Noah reads 1.6 million public sources without pause and keeps everything dated, so a question about next quarter is answered against what was known, when it was known. Your AI does the thinking. Noah supplies the evidence, the methods and the arithmetic it cannot carry in its own memory. The better the model you use, the better the result.

What comes back, every time: dated evidence from the public record; a measured probability with its range; the drivers and the counter-evidence; watchpoints (what would change the answer); a back-test on any date in the past; a report in your name, on screen or as PDF.

## How it works: three layers, one conversation

1. Your model. ChatGPT or Claude, whichever you already pay for. When the model improves, Noah improves with it.
2. Noah's evidence. 49 million documents, dated and kept; 1.6 million public sources in many languages; news, filings, regulators, courts, markets, prices and prediction markets; read continuously, never sampled; fifteen months of instrumented history.
3. Noah's physics. Risk of a place, sector or counterparty; probability of any named event; outlook month by month; edge against a market price; opportunity across a sector; back-test as of any past date.

Then you simply ask, for example: "Using Noah, how risky is political violence in Nigeria for a six-month contract starting in January?" or "Using Noah as of 1 March 2026, what probability would it have given to a Red Sea shipping disruption by June? Then compare with what happened."

## Who it is for

Insurance and risk · Prediction markets · Hedge funds and private equity · Family offices · Corporate strategy · Analysts and journalists. If you need to know how likely something is, Noah is for you.

## Test it

Run any forecast as of a date in the past. Noah answers with only what was known then, so you can see whether it would have been right. Real physics, not a prompt. Evidence attached. Any question, any market. Backdated on demand. Private by design: read-only, your questions stay inside your own AI. Read without pause.

## Why Noah, not a terminal

The intelligence desks charge £250 to £500 a seat a month before you have bought a single data layer. Noah's top plan is £169 and the data is included. 49 million documents; 1.6 million sources; 15+ months of instrumented history. Not a cheaper analyst: your own AI, with a working forecasting engine behind it.

## Pricing

Individuals:
- Free: £0 a month, 3 reports, 1 user. Try Noah on the questions that matter to you. No card.
- Analyst: £49 ($59) a month, 25 reports, 1 user. Evidence-backed research for individual professionals.
- Desk: £169 ($199) a month, 120 reports, 1 user. More capacity for professionals producing frequent research and client reports.

Teams:
- Business: £599 ($799) a month, 400 reports pooled across up to 5 named users, central billing, team administration and a defined onboarding session. Talk to us.
- Enterprise: custom pricing, agreed allowance and team size. Noah integrated into your organisation's research and operational workflows. Contact sales.

What counts as a report? One research question and its completed investigation count as one report. Follow-up explanations, reformatting and downloads of existing results are included. A new question, fresh research or a rerun using updated evidence counts towards your allowance. For a larger investigation involving multiple reports, we show the allowance required before you start.

Every paid plan has the same methods and evidence; plans differ by capacity, team features and service. Monthly billing in pounds or dollars, fixed prices in each currency. Your AI subscription is separate. Comparison: a terminal seat is £250 to £500 a month before data; a Noah Desk seat is £169 with the data included.

## Connect

- Connect ChatGPT (one click): https://chatgpt.com/plugins/plugin_asdk_app_6a44a9d050d081918636f82d3a5a5d4f
- Connect Claude (two minutes): https://noahpredict.com/connect/
- Any other AI that speaks MCP: https://noahpredict.com/mcp
- Teams and institutions: contact@noahwire.com

Noah Live, the earlier hosted dashboard, remains at https://noahpredict.com/v4/ for existing accounts.
