Turn the AI you already use into a superforecaster.
Our data. Our physics. Your AI.
Ask the risk of anything. Then test the answer against the past.
Your AI is brilliant. It is arguing from a thin file.
Noah Predict connects 49 million dated documents and a working forecasting engine to the model you use every day.
A connection, not another interface
Nothing to learn. Nothing to install. Connect Noah to ChatGPT or Claude and ask the questions you already ask, with evidence and a measured probability behind every answer.
Noah reads 1.6 million public sources without pause and keeps everything dated, so a question about next quarter is answered against what was known, when it was known.
Your AI does the thinking. Noah supplies the evidence, the methods and the arithmetic it cannot carry in its own memory. The better the model you use, the better the result.
- 01Dated evidence from the public record
- 02A measured probability, with its range
- 03The drivers, and the counter-evidence
- 04Watchpoints: what would change the answer
- 05A back-test on any date in the past
- 06A report in your name, on screen or as PDF
Ask it anything you can name.
Noah answers in five shapes. Each one is a different piece of physics, and each one keeps its evidence.
Risk ofanything you can name.
- Insurance
- Markets
- Geopolitics
- Companies
- Prediction markets
Three layers. One conversation.
Noah does not replace your AI. It gives it what it cannot hold on its own: the evidence, the history and the arithmetic.
ChatGPT or Claude
Whichever you already pay for. When the model improves, Noah improves with it. The bigger the model, the better the forecast.
- 49 million documents, dated and kept
- 1.6 million public sources, many languages
- News, filings, regulators, courts
- Markets, prices and prediction markets
- Read continuously, never sampled
- Fifteen months of instrumented history
- Risk of a place, sector or counterparty
- Probability of any named event
- Outlook, month by month
- Edge against a market price
- Opportunity across a sector
- Back-test as of any past date
- Risk ofUsing Noah, how risky is political violence in Nigeria for a six-month contract starting in January?
- Probability ofUsing Noah, what is the probability of a ceasefire holding for 90 days, and what would change the answer?
- Outlook forUsing Noah, give me the outlook for copper supply over the next two quarters, month by month.
- Edge onUsing Noah, is this prediction market mispriced? Compare Noah's reading with the current price and show the evidence.
- Opportunity inUsing Noah, which parts of European defence supply are gaining signal that the market has not priced yet?
- Risk ofUsing Noah, test every material claim in this company's last results statement against the public record.
- Outlook forUsing Noah, how is cyber risk for mid-sized UK manufacturers changing, and where is it heading next quarter?
- Back-testUsing Noah as of 1 March 2026, what probability would it have given to a Red Sea shipping disruption by June? Then compare with what happened.
- Probability ofUsing Noah, what is the probability that this company beats guidance next quarter, with drivers and counter-evidence?
- Risk ofUsing Noah, how risky is a three-week trip through Nigeria and Singapore for a senior executive, country by country?
- Back-testUsing Noah, re-run my sector outlook from last October as of that date and score it against what the market did.
- Opportunity inUsing Noah, scan the open election markets and list the three where the evidence disagrees most with the price.
Built for people who are paid to be right about the future.
If your work depends on how likely something is, this is for you. One connection, and the same engine serves every desk.
Six desks · One connection
Insurance and risk
How risky a place, a sector or a counterparty is, this quarter and next, read from the public record.
Prediction markets
Noah's own reading against the market price, so you can see where a market has drifted from the evidence.
Hedge funds and private equity
Sector outlooks, company watch and claim-testing before the committee meets, with the sources attached.
Family offices
Which sectors to be in and which to leave, measured rather than argued, inside the AI you already use.
Corporate strategy
Country, policy and supply risk before the decision, not after it.
Analysts and journalists
Every material claim tested against 49 million dated documents in one question.
If you need to know how likely something is, Noah is for you.
Enterprise
Teams, private deployments, behind your own firewall.
→Don't take our word for it. Back-test it.
Run any forecast as of a date in the past. Noah answers with only what was known then, so you can see whether it would have been right.
The same engine, limited to the cutoff
Real physics, not a prompt
Tagging, pressure, regime and coupling arithmetic runs before any language model writes a word.
Evidence attached
Every answer keeps its sources, dates and coverage, so you can see exactly what it rests on.
Any question, any market
Risk, probability, outlook, edge or opportunity, on anything you can name.
Backdated on demand
Set the date. Noah forgets everything after it and runs again, so a theory can be tested before it is trusted.
Private by design
Read-only. Your questions stay inside your own AI. Nothing you ask becomes our content.
Read without pause
New documents are tagged as they arrive. Nothing waits for a morning meeting.
- The question and its horizon
- A probability, with its range
- Direction of travel
- Drivers and counter-evidence
- Watchpoints
- Sources, dated
Three reports a month, free.
Enough to test Noah against a question you already know the answer to. No card, no new interface, two minutes to connect.
Connect ChatGPT →Terminal-grade data. Without the terminal.
The intelligence desks charge £250 to £500 a seat a month before you have bought a single data layer. A Noah Desk seat is £169, and the data is included.
The data, and the engineering, for everyone
A terminal seat
- £250 to £500 a month, per person
- Data layers charged on top
- Minimum seats, annual contracts
- Their interface, their model
Noah Predict
- From £0, a Desk seat £169
- The data is included
- One seat is fine, monthly
- Your AI, the model you choose
Noah Business Intelligence is written from the same archive, every hour.
One report at a time. Pay for what you run.
- A report is one question, one run. Follow-ups, reformatting and downloads are included.
- Start free. Three reports a month, every tool, no card.
- Monthly billing, in pounds or dollars. Fixed prices in each currency. Move up, move down or stop in any month.
- Same methods on every plan. Plans differ by capacity, team features and service, never by the quality of the research.
- Your AI is separate. Your ChatGPT or Claude plan supplies the model.
Three reports a month cost nothing. Enough to test Noah against something you already know. Then pay for the reports you run.
25 reports / month · 1 user
Evidence-backed research for individual professionals.
Choose Analyst →120 reports / month · 1 user
More capacity for professionals producing frequent research and client reports.
Choose Desk →400 reports / month, pooled · up to 5 users
Shared intelligence for teams, with pooled reports and central administration. Five named users, central billing, team administration and a defined onboarding session.
Choose Business →agreed allowance · agreed team size
Noah integrated into your organisation's research and operational workflows: automated production workloads, embedded services, bulk data access, redistribution, custom feeds, and separately agreed deployment or support.
Contact sales →One research question and its completed investigation count as one report. Follow-up explanations, reformatting and downloads of existing results are included. A new question, fresh research or a rerun using updated evidence counts towards your allowance. For a larger investigation involving multiple reports, we show the allowance required before you start.
- Core research and forecasting methods
- Supporting evidence with every answer
- Interactive MCP access in your own AI
- Follow-up discussion of existing findings
- Report downloads
- Sharing finished reports with your clients
Connect Noah to your AI.
Two minutes. No card. Your AI does the thinking, and Noah supplies the file.
Any other AI that speaks MCP: https://noahpredict.com/mcp
Prefer email? [email protected]